Rico Dowdle Fantasy Outlook, Projections & Trade Value
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All player profiles / Rico Dowdle
PIT · RB · 2026 redraft outlook
- Half-PPR rank
- RB37 · #131
- Half-PPR trade value
- 49.5
- PPR trade value
- 49.1
- Standard trade value
- 49.5
Week 7 stat projections
Opponent: NO · Preliminary · Updated Oct 25, 2026, 9:54 AM PT
- Carries
- 2.6
- Rushing yards
- 10.1
- Rushing TDs
- 0.1
- Targets
- 3.4
- Receptions
- 2.2
- Receiving yards
- 11.8
- Receiving TDs
- 0.0
- Standard points
- 2.6
- Half-PPR points
- 3.7
- PPR points
- 4.8
Limited Participation in Practice; Knee
Week 7 matchup analysis
NO allows 30.1 PPR points per game to opposing running backs: No. 1 of 32 for most points allowed through Week 6 (6 games). Opposing backfields average 116.8 rushing yards, 4.0 receptions and 30.5 receiving yards per game. Running backs gain 4.8 yards per carry against this defense. This is a favorable matchup by positional fantasy points allowed. The published forecast is 4.8 PPR points.
Matchup sources and sample limits
Position results are totals for all opposing players at that position, divided by defensive games, not an individual player forecast. Rank 1 allows the most PPR points; ties share rank. At least three games are required. Raw results are not adjusted for opponent strength, game script or injuries and do not establish individual cornerback coverage. QB PPR totals follow the source’s default 4-point passing-TD scoring.
WR with the highest targets per recorded player-stat appearance for that team entering the game. Prior weeks only; tied leaders, Week 1 and games without a recorded appearance by the leader are excluded. This is not cornerback coverage data.
nflverse weekly player statistics · through Week 6 · captured Oct 24, 2026, 6:53 PM PT · SHA-256 eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6
Fantasy verdict
Rico Dowdle is a bench stash asset for rest-of-season trades. He is No. 131 overall in Half PPR. Through Week 6, his 3-game sample includes 22 carries for 77 yards and 0 rushing touchdowns, plus 7 catches for 37 yards. That is 6.1 PPR points per game.
Role and efficiency
His latest 3 appearances produced 7.3 carries per game. His 2.3 catches per game add reception-based scoring alongside the rushing workload. Across 3 recent snap records, he averaged 37.0% of offensive snaps. Catches and receiving yards alone contributed 3.6 PPR points per game before receiving touchdowns. He has 3.5 yards per carry, but the sample is below our comparison minimum. Do not price that rate as a proven efficiency edge. The availability snapshot lists week 7: questionable (knee); check the documented return status before using him.
Weekly lineup call
Week 7: Keep him out of standard starting lineups if active under the stated role assumption. His 4.8-point PPR forecast ranks RB41 in this run, built on 2.6 carries, 10.1 rushing yards and 3.4 targets. The matchup is against NO. This forecast is 1.3 points below his observed PPR average. Run availability: Limited Participation in Practice; Knee.
Trade stance
Half-PPR trade value: 49.5. Same-position model prices: Keaton Mitchell (RB45, value 49.3) and David Montgomery (RB34, value 49.1). Price him as a secondary asset in rest-of-season deals; do not upgrade his trade tier on a single weekly forecast. PPR value is 49.1; Standard is 49.5. His overall rank held at 131.
Compare Rico Dowdle in the Trade Analyzer →
RB rankings · RB projections · Model methodology
Sources and calculation notes
Automatically generated by The Roster Report from source-linked statistics and published calculations. Fantasy tiers use a 12-team, one-QB baseline; lineup calls use the player’s rank within the published PPR forecast. Trade stances are editorial interpretations of model tiers, not market-price claims. Efficiency comparisons require three recorded games and at least 50 pass attempts for QBs, 30 carries for RBs, or 20 targets for WRs/TEs within the analyzer’s player pool. These editorial rules do not change model scores or rankings. No manual player writeups. Model neutral defaults are excluded from observed-stat claims. Recorded games can include injury-shortened appearances. Recent comparisons use appearances, not missed-game zeros.
- nflverse player_stats.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6 - nflverse snaps.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5065e069449ec1330f05469c0a18d01a2a32e633ee0b7a0a15939d87071619fb - nflverse roster.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5995112b9b4706b923a480eabc941b40a4efbc76f6cfc164d883f137f997542c
Default-league values include the analyzer’s existing availability and RB adjustments. Custom scoring, Superflex and package premiums are evaluated inside the analyzer. No market discount or buy/sell recommendation is inferred without supporting market data.
Projection run assumptions: October 25 pregame injury refresh: confirmed inactives excluded; Mayfield and Huntley confirmed starters; Mason and Coleman restored using recorded 2026 roles. Jacobs full-workload and Barkley conditional healthy-role assumptions retained. Puka remains conditional. Kirk, Dell and Sampson are activated but have no usable 2026 offensive sample, so no numeric forecast is invented. Thursday and Paris-game forecasts preserved for audit.