Patrick Mahomes II Fantasy Outlook, Projections & Trade Value
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All player profiles / Patrick Mahomes II
KC · QB · 2026 redraft outlook
- Half-PPR rank
- QB11 · #87
- Half-PPR trade value
- 68.0
- PPR trade value
- 68.1
- Standard trade value
- 68.1
Week 7 stat projections
Opponent: SEA · Preliminary · Updated Oct 25, 2026, 9:54 AM PT
- Pass attempts
- 30.2
- Passing yards
- 254.9
- Passing TDs
- 1.2
- Interceptions
- 0.7
- Carries
- 3.7
- Rushing yards
- 10.7
- Rushing TDs
- 0.2
- Standard points
- 15.7
- Half-PPR points
- 15.7
- PPR points
- 15.7
Full Participation in Practice; Knee
Week 7 matchup analysis
SEA allows 11.2 PPR points per game to opposing quarterbacks: No. 31 of 32 for most points allowed through Week 6 (6 games). Opposing quarterbacks average 156.8 passing yards, 1.3 passing touchdowns and 1.2 interceptions per game against this defense. The defense allows 5.3 yards per pass attempt; opposing quarterbacks take 2.7 sacks per game. This is a difficult matchup by positional fantasy points allowed. The published forecast is 15.7 PPR points.
Matchup sources and sample limits
Position results are totals for all opposing players at that position, divided by defensive games, not an individual player forecast. Rank 1 allows the most PPR points; ties share rank. At least three games are required. Raw results are not adjusted for opponent strength, game script or injuries and do not establish individual cornerback coverage. QB PPR totals follow the source’s default 4-point passing-TD scoring.
WR with the highest targets per recorded player-stat appearance for that team entering the game. Prior weeks only; tied leaders, Week 1 and games without a recorded appearance by the leader are excluded. This is not cornerback coverage data.
nflverse weekly player statistics · through Week 6 · captured Oct 24, 2026, 6:53 PM PT · SHA-256 eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6
Fantasy verdict
Patrick Mahomes II is a QB1 asset for rest-of-season trades. He is No. 87 overall in Half PPR. In 5 recorded games through Week 6, he has thrown for 1309 yards and 9 touchdowns against 3 interceptions, adding 57 rushing yards and 1 rushing touchdown. That is 18.8 PPR points per game.
Role and efficiency
His latest 2 appearances produced 30.0 pass attempts per game, versus 35.5 in the preceding 2. The workload is holding near its recent baseline. Rushing has supplied 2.3 fantasy points per game before turnovers. Across 3 recent snap records, he averaged 100.0% of offensive snaps. He completed 66.5% of passes; interceptions cost 1.2 points per game under the run's scoring. His 8.3 yards per pass attempt rank 5 of 36 qualifying QBs in our pool (three games and 50 pass attempts). Strong efficiency backs up the workload.
Weekly lineup call
Week 7: Use him in two-QB or Superflex lineups. His 15.7-point PPR forecast ranks QB14 in this run, with 30.2 pass attempts, 254.9 passing yards and 10.7 rushing yards. The matchup is against SEA. This forecast is 3.1 points below his observed PPR average. Run availability: Full Participation in Practice; Knee.
Trade stance
Half-PPR trade value: 68.0. Same-position model prices: Brock Purdy (QB10, value 68.3) and Bryce Young (QB12, value 65.9). Use that tier as the negotiation anchor; trade him to address a clear starting-lineup need. PPR value is 68.1; Standard is 68.1. His overall rank held at 87.
Compare Patrick Mahomes II in the Trade Analyzer →
QB rankings · QB projections · Model methodology
Sources and calculation notes
Automatically generated by The Roster Report from source-linked statistics and published calculations. Fantasy tiers use a 12-team, one-QB baseline; lineup calls use the player’s rank within the published PPR forecast. Trade stances are editorial interpretations of model tiers, not market-price claims. Efficiency comparisons require three recorded games and at least 50 pass attempts for QBs, 30 carries for RBs, or 20 targets for WRs/TEs within the analyzer’s player pool. These editorial rules do not change model scores or rankings. No manual player writeups. Model neutral defaults are excluded from observed-stat claims. Recorded games can include injury-shortened appearances. Recent comparisons use appearances, not missed-game zeros.
- nflverse player_stats.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6 - nflverse snaps.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5065e069449ec1330f05469c0a18d01a2a32e633ee0b7a0a15939d87071619fb - nflverse roster.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5995112b9b4706b923a480eabc941b40a4efbc76f6cfc164d883f137f997542c
Default-league values include the analyzer’s existing availability and RB adjustments. Custom scoring, Superflex and package premiums are evaluated inside the analyzer. No market discount or buy/sell recommendation is inferred without supporting market data.
Projection run assumptions: October 25 pregame injury refresh: confirmed inactives excluded; Mayfield and Huntley confirmed starters; Mason and Coleman restored using recorded 2026 roles. Jacobs full-workload and Barkley conditional healthy-role assumptions retained. Puka remains conditional. Kirk, Dell and Sampson are activated but have no usable 2026 offensive sample, so no numeric forecast is invented. Thursday and Paris-game forecasts preserved for audit.