Nico Collins Fantasy Outlook, Projections & Trade Value
This is the last validated profile snapshot. Newer model or projection inputs are available; open the analyzer for current values.
All player profiles / Nico Collins
HOU · WR · 2026 redraft outlook
- Half-PPR rank
- WR9 · #18
- Half-PPR trade value
- 90.1
- PPR trade value
- 90.1
- Standard trade value
- 90.0
Week 7 stat projections
Opponent: NYG · Preliminary · Updated Oct 25, 2026, 9:54 AM PT
- Carries
- 0.5
- Rushing yards
- 1.7
- Rushing TDs
- 0.0
- Targets
- 6.1
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Receiving yards
- 76.6
- Receiving TDs
- 0.4
- Standard points
- 10.2
- Half-PPR points
- 12.4
- PPR points
- 14.5
Limited Participation in Practice; Not injury related - resting player
Week 7 matchup analysis
NYG allows 31.4 PPR points per game to opposing wide receivers: No. 19 of 32 for most points allowed through Week 6 (6 games). Opposing wide receivers average 18.2 targets, 10.8 receptions, 132.3 receiving yards and 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game as a group. The defense sits in the middle half of the ranked defenses by positional fantasy points allowed. Against opposing leading receivers, NYG allows 5.7 catches, 65.3 receiving yards and 14.2 PPR points per game across 3 qualifying games (No. 16 of 30 for most PPR points allowed). That leading-receiver split is a small sample; treat it as supporting context. The published forecast is 14.5 PPR points.
Matchup sources and sample limits
Position results are totals for all opposing players at that position, divided by defensive games, not an individual player forecast. Rank 1 allows the most PPR points; ties share rank. At least three games are required. Raw results are not adjusted for opponent strength, game script or injuries and do not establish individual cornerback coverage. QB PPR totals follow the source’s default 4-point passing-TD scoring.
WR with the highest targets per recorded player-stat appearance for that team entering the game. Prior weeks only; tied leaders, Week 1 and games without a recorded appearance by the leader are excluded. This is not cornerback coverage data.
nflverse weekly player statistics · through Week 6 · captured Oct 24, 2026, 6:53 PM PT · SHA-256 eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6
Fantasy verdict
Nico Collins is a WR1 asset for rest-of-season trades. He is No. 18 overall in Half PPR. In 4 recorded games through Week 6, he has turned 30 targets into 22 catches, 323 yards and 3 touchdowns. That is 18.4 PPR points per game.
Role and efficiency
His latest 2 appearances produced 6.0 targets per game, versus 9.0 in the preceding 2. Opportunity is contracting; lower the volume expectation. His targets equal 21.9% of team pass attempts in those games. Across 3 recent snap records, he averaged 71.0% of offensive snaps. Touchdowns supplied 24.5% of his PPR points; yardage and catches carry most of his production. His 10.8 yards per target rank 8 of 62 qualifying WRs in our pool (three games and 20 targets). Strong efficiency backs up the workload.
Weekly lineup call
Week 7: Start him as a WR2 if active under the stated role assumption. His 14.5-point PPR forecast ranks WR16 in this run, built on 6.1 targets, 4.3 catches and 76.6 receiving yards. The matchup is against NYG. This forecast is 3.9 points below his observed PPR average. Run availability: Limited Participation in Practice; Not injury related - resting player.
Trade stance
Half-PPR trade value: 90.1. Same-position model prices: Chris Olave (WR8, value 90.3) and Tetairoa McMillan (WR7, value 90.4). Use that tier as the negotiation anchor; trade him to address a clear starting-lineup need. PPR value is 90.1; Standard is 90.0. His overall rank held at 18.
Compare Nico Collins in the Trade Analyzer →
WR rankings · WR projections · Model methodology
Sources and calculation notes
Automatically generated by The Roster Report from source-linked statistics and published calculations. Fantasy tiers use a 12-team, one-QB baseline; lineup calls use the player’s rank within the published PPR forecast. Trade stances are editorial interpretations of model tiers, not market-price claims. Efficiency comparisons require three recorded games and at least 50 pass attempts for QBs, 30 carries for RBs, or 20 targets for WRs/TEs within the analyzer’s player pool. These editorial rules do not change model scores or rankings. No manual player writeups. Model neutral defaults are excluded from observed-stat claims. Recorded games can include injury-shortened appearances. Recent comparisons use appearances, not missed-game zeros.
- nflverse player_stats.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6 - nflverse snaps.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5065e069449ec1330f05469c0a18d01a2a32e633ee0b7a0a15939d87071619fb - nflverse roster.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5995112b9b4706b923a480eabc941b40a4efbc76f6cfc164d883f137f997542c
Default-league values include the analyzer’s existing availability and RB adjustments. Custom scoring, Superflex and package premiums are evaluated inside the analyzer. No market discount or buy/sell recommendation is inferred without supporting market data.
Projection run assumptions: October 25 pregame injury refresh: confirmed inactives excluded; Mayfield and Huntley confirmed starters; Mason and Coleman restored using recorded 2026 roles. Jacobs full-workload and Barkley conditional healthy-role assumptions retained. Puka remains conditional. Kirk, Dell and Sampson are activated but have no usable 2026 offensive sample, so no numeric forecast is invented. Thursday and Paris-game forecasts preserved for audit.