Justin Jefferson Fantasy Outlook, Projections & Trade Value
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All player profiles / Justin Jefferson
MIN · WR · 2026 redraft outlook
- Half-PPR rank
- WR10 · #19
- Half-PPR trade value
- 89.5
- PPR trade value
- 89.5
- Standard trade value
- 89.3
Week 7 stat projections
Opponent: IND · Preliminary · Updated Oct 25, 2026, 9:54 AM PT
- Carries
- 0.3
- Rushing yards
- 0.7
- Rushing TDs
- 0.0
- Targets
- 5.3
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Receiving yards
- 58.4
- Receiving TDs
- 0.7
- Standard points
- 10.1
- Half-PPR points
- 12.3
- PPR points
- 14.4
full_name Justin Jefferson Full Participation in Practice Justin Jefferson Limited Participation in Practice Name: practice_status, dtype: object; full_name Justin Jefferson Hip Justin Jefferson Ankle Name: practice_primary_injury, dtype: object
Week 7 matchup analysis
IND allows 30.8 PPR points per game to opposing wide receivers: No. 20 of 32 for most points allowed through Week 6 (6 games). Opposing wide receivers average 17.3 targets, 10.5 receptions, 148.8 receiving yards and 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game as a group. The defense sits in the middle half of the ranked defenses by positional fantasy points allowed. Against opposing leading receivers, IND allows 4.7 catches, 35.7 receiving yards and 12.6 PPR points per game across 3 qualifying games (No. 18 of 30 for most PPR points allowed). That leading-receiver split is a small sample; treat it as supporting context. The published forecast is 14.4 PPR points.
Matchup sources and sample limits
Position results are totals for all opposing players at that position, divided by defensive games, not an individual player forecast. Rank 1 allows the most PPR points; ties share rank. At least three games are required. Raw results are not adjusted for opponent strength, game script or injuries and do not establish individual cornerback coverage. QB PPR totals follow the source’s default 4-point passing-TD scoring.
WR with the highest targets per recorded player-stat appearance for that team entering the game. Prior weeks only; tied leaders, Week 1 and games without a recorded appearance by the leader are excluded. This is not cornerback coverage data.
nflverse weekly player statistics · through Week 6 · captured Oct 24, 2026, 6:53 PM PT · SHA-256 eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6
Fantasy verdict
Justin Jefferson is a WR1 asset for rest-of-season trades. He is No. 19 overall in Half PPR. In 4 recorded games through Week 6, he has turned 24 targets into 19 catches, 258 yards and 3 touchdowns. That is 15.9 PPR points per game.
Role and efficiency
His latest 2 appearances produced 4.5 targets per game, versus 7.5 in the preceding 2. Opportunity is contracting; lower the volume expectation. His targets equal 23.3% of team pass attempts in those games. Across 3 recent snap records, he averaged 67.0% of offensive snaps. Touchdowns supplied 28.3% of his PPR points; yardage and catches carry most of his production. His 10.8 yards per target rank 9 of 62 qualifying WRs in our pool (three games and 20 targets). Strong efficiency backs up the workload.
Weekly lineup call
Week 7: Start him as a WR2 if active under the stated role assumption. His 14.4-point PPR forecast ranks WR18 in this run, built on 5.3 targets, 4.4 catches and 58.4 receiving yards. The matchup is against IND. This forecast is 1.5 points below his observed PPR average. Run availability: full_name Justin Jefferson Full Participation in Practice Justin Jefferson Limited Participation in Practice Name: practice_status, dtype: object; full_name Justin Jefferson Hip Justin Jefferson Ankle Name: practice_primary_injury, dtype: object.
Trade stance
Half-PPR trade value: 89.5. Same-position model prices: George Pickens (WR11, value 89.4) and Drake London (WR12, value 89.0). Use that tier as the negotiation anchor; trade him to address a clear starting-lineup need. PPR value is 89.5; Standard is 89.3. His overall rank held at 19.
Compare Justin Jefferson in the Trade Analyzer →
WR rankings · WR projections · Model methodology
Sources and calculation notes
Automatically generated by The Roster Report from source-linked statistics and published calculations. Fantasy tiers use a 12-team, one-QB baseline; lineup calls use the player’s rank within the published PPR forecast. Trade stances are editorial interpretations of model tiers, not market-price claims. Efficiency comparisons require three recorded games and at least 50 pass attempts for QBs, 30 carries for RBs, or 20 targets for WRs/TEs within the analyzer’s player pool. These editorial rules do not change model scores or rankings. No manual player writeups. Model neutral defaults are excluded from observed-stat claims. Recorded games can include injury-shortened appearances. Recent comparisons use appearances, not missed-game zeros.
- nflverse player_stats.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
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Default-league values include the analyzer’s existing availability and RB adjustments. Custom scoring, Superflex and package premiums are evaluated inside the analyzer. No market discount or buy/sell recommendation is inferred without supporting market data.
Projection run assumptions: October 25 pregame injury refresh: confirmed inactives excluded; Mayfield and Huntley confirmed starters; Mason and Coleman restored using recorded 2026 roles. Jacobs full-workload and Barkley conditional healthy-role assumptions retained. Puka remains conditional. Kirk, Dell and Sampson are activated but have no usable 2026 offensive sample, so no numeric forecast is invented. Thursday and Paris-game forecasts preserved for audit.