Joe Burrow Fantasy Outlook, Projections & Trade Value
This is the last validated profile snapshot. Newer model or projection inputs are available; open the analyzer for current values.
All player profiles / Joe Burrow
CIN · QB · 2026 redraft outlook
- Half-PPR rank
- QB3 · #40
- Half-PPR trade value
- 82.6
- PPR trade value
- 82.8
- Standard trade value
- 82.7
Week 7 stat projections
Opponent: BAL · Preliminary · Updated Oct 25, 2026, 9:54 AM PT
- Pass attempts
- 38.3
- Passing yards
- 268.6
- Passing TDs
- 2.7
- Interceptions
- 0.6
- Carries
- 3.4
- Rushing yards
- 9.5
- Rushing TDs
- 0.2
- Standard points
- 22.4
- Half-PPR points
- 22.4
- PPR points
- 22.4
No current injury report designation
Week 7 matchup analysis
BAL allows 14.9 PPR points per game to opposing quarterbacks: No. 23 of 32 for most points allowed through Week 6 (6 games). Opposing quarterbacks average 225.7 passing yards, 0.8 passing touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions per game against this defense. The defense allows 6.9 yards per pass attempt; opposing quarterbacks take 2.5 sacks per game. The defense sits in the middle half of the ranked defenses by positional fantasy points allowed. The published forecast is 22.4 PPR points.
Matchup sources and sample limits
Position results are totals for all opposing players at that position, divided by defensive games, not an individual player forecast. Rank 1 allows the most PPR points; ties share rank. At least three games are required. Raw results are not adjusted for opponent strength, game script or injuries and do not establish individual cornerback coverage. QB PPR totals follow the source’s default 4-point passing-TD scoring.
WR with the highest targets per recorded player-stat appearance for that team entering the game. Prior weeks only; tied leaders, Week 1 and games without a recorded appearance by the leader are excluded. This is not cornerback coverage data.
nflverse weekly player statistics · through Week 6 · captured Oct 24, 2026, 6:53 PM PT · SHA-256 eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6
Fantasy verdict
Joe Burrow is an elite QB1 asset for rest-of-season trades. He is No. 40 overall in Half PPR. In 5 recorded games through Week 6, he has thrown for 1361 yards and 11 touchdowns against 3 interceptions, adding 48 rushing yards and 1 rushing touchdown. That is 20.2 PPR points per game.
Role and efficiency
His latest 2 appearances produced 43.0 pass attempts per game, versus 34.0 in the preceding 2. Opportunity is expanding. Rushing has supplied 2.2 fantasy points per game before turnovers. Across 3 recent snap records, he averaged 100.0% of offensive snaps. He completed 71.4% of passes; interceptions cost 1.2 points per game under the run's scoring. His 7.2 yards per pass attempt rank 16 of 36 qualifying QBs in our pool (three games and 50 pass attempts). Volume remains the stronger distinction than efficiency.
Weekly lineup call
Week 7: Start him as a QB1. His 22.4-point PPR forecast ranks QB2 in this run, with 38.3 pass attempts, 268.6 passing yards and 9.5 rushing yards. The matchup is against BAL. This forecast is 2.2 points above his observed PPR average.
Trade stance
Half-PPR trade value: 82.6. Same-position model prices: Caleb Williams (QB4, value 81.0) and Drake Maye (QB5, value 80.3). Demand a premium return; reject depth-only packages for this top-tier asset. PPR value is 82.8; Standard is 82.7. His overall rank held at 40.
Compare Joe Burrow in the Trade Analyzer →
QB rankings · QB projections · Model methodology
Sources and calculation notes
Automatically generated by The Roster Report from source-linked statistics and published calculations. Fantasy tiers use a 12-team, one-QB baseline; lineup calls use the player’s rank within the published PPR forecast. Trade stances are editorial interpretations of model tiers, not market-price claims. Efficiency comparisons require three recorded games and at least 50 pass attempts for QBs, 30 carries for RBs, or 20 targets for WRs/TEs within the analyzer’s player pool. These editorial rules do not change model scores or rankings. No manual player writeups. Model neutral defaults are excluded from observed-stat claims. Recorded games can include injury-shortened appearances. Recent comparisons use appearances, not missed-game zeros.
- nflverse player_stats.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6 - nflverse snaps.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5065e069449ec1330f05469c0a18d01a2a32e633ee0b7a0a15939d87071619fb - nflverse roster.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5995112b9b4706b923a480eabc941b40a4efbc76f6cfc164d883f137f997542c
Default-league values include the analyzer’s existing availability and RB adjustments. Custom scoring, Superflex and package premiums are evaluated inside the analyzer. No market discount or buy/sell recommendation is inferred without supporting market data.
Projection run assumptions: October 25 pregame injury refresh: confirmed inactives excluded; Mayfield and Huntley confirmed starters; Mason and Coleman restored using recorded 2026 roles. Jacobs full-workload and Barkley conditional healthy-role assumptions retained. Puka remains conditional. Kirk, Dell and Sampson are activated but have no usable 2026 offensive sample, so no numeric forecast is invented. Thursday and Paris-game forecasts preserved for audit.