Aaron Jones Sr. Fantasy Outlook, Projections & Trade Value
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All player profiles / Aaron Jones Sr.
MIN · RB · 2026 redraft outlook
- Half-PPR rank
- RB24 · #85
- Half-PPR trade value
- 69.5
- PPR trade value
- 68.5
- Standard trade value
- 69.3
Week 7 stat projections
Opponent: IND · Preliminary · Updated Oct 25, 2026, 9:54 AM PT
- Carries
- 9.8
- Rushing yards
- 42.9
- Rushing TDs
- 0.3
- Targets
- 2.9
- Receptions
- 2.1
- Receiving yards
- 10.2
- Receiving TDs
- 0.0
- Standard points
- 6.9
- Half-PPR points
- 7.9
- PPR points
- 8.9
No current injury report designation
Week 7 matchup analysis
IND allows 23.9 PPR points per game to opposing running backs: No. 6 of 32 for most points allowed through Week 6 (6 games). Opposing backfields average 95.8 rushing yards, 3.8 receptions and 45.2 receiving yards per game. Running backs gain 4.6 yards per carry against this defense. This is a favorable matchup by positional fantasy points allowed. The published forecast is 8.9 PPR points.
Matchup sources and sample limits
Position results are totals for all opposing players at that position, divided by defensive games, not an individual player forecast. Rank 1 allows the most PPR points; ties share rank. At least three games are required. Raw results are not adjusted for opponent strength, game script or injuries and do not establish individual cornerback coverage. QB PPR totals follow the source’s default 4-point passing-TD scoring.
WR with the highest targets per recorded player-stat appearance for that team entering the game. Prior weeks only; tied leaders, Week 1 and games without a recorded appearance by the leader are excluded. This is not cornerback coverage data.
nflverse weekly player statistics · through Week 6 · captured Oct 24, 2026, 6:53 PM PT · SHA-256 eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6
Fantasy verdict
Aaron Jones Sr. is an RB2 asset for rest-of-season trades. He is No. 85 overall in Half PPR. Through Week 6, his 5-game sample includes 97 carries for 410 yards and 2 rushing touchdowns, plus 12 catches for 72 yards. That is 14.0 PPR points per game.
Role and efficiency
His latest 2 appearances produced 22.5 carries per game, versus 20.0 in the preceding 2. The workload is holding near its recent baseline. His 2.4 catches per game add reception-based scoring alongside the rushing workload. Across 3 recent snap records, he averaged 80.0% of offensive snaps. Catches and receiving yards alone contributed 3.8 PPR points per game before receiving touchdowns. His 4.2 yards per carry rank 19 of 48 qualifying RBs in our pool (three games and 30 carries). Volume remains the stronger distinction than efficiency.
Weekly lineup call
Week 7: Use him in the FLEX. His 8.9-point PPR forecast ranks RB30 in this run, built on 9.8 carries, 42.9 rushing yards and 2.9 targets. The matchup is against IND. This forecast is 5.1 points below his observed PPR average.
Trade stance
Half-PPR trade value: 69.5. Same-position model prices: Josh Jacobs (RB25, value 68.9) and Breece Hall (RB16, value 70.3). Use that tier as the negotiation anchor; trade him to address a clear starting-lineup need. PPR value is 68.5; Standard is 69.3. His overall rank held at 85.
Compare Aaron Jones Sr. in the Trade Analyzer →
RB rankings · RB projections · Model methodology
Sources and calculation notes
Automatically generated by The Roster Report from source-linked statistics and published calculations. Fantasy tiers use a 12-team, one-QB baseline; lineup calls use the player’s rank within the published PPR forecast. Trade stances are editorial interpretations of model tiers, not market-price claims. Efficiency comparisons require three recorded games and at least 50 pass attempts for QBs, 30 carries for RBs, or 20 targets for WRs/TEs within the analyzer’s player pool. These editorial rules do not change model scores or rankings. No manual player writeups. Model neutral defaults are excluded from observed-stat claims. Recorded games can include injury-shortened appearances. Recent comparisons use appearances, not missed-game zeros.
- nflverse player_stats.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6 - nflverse snaps.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5065e069449ec1330f05469c0a18d01a2a32e633ee0b7a0a15939d87071619fb - nflverse roster.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
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Default-league values include the analyzer’s existing availability and RB adjustments. Custom scoring, Superflex and package premiums are evaluated inside the analyzer. No market discount or buy/sell recommendation is inferred without supporting market data.
Projection run assumptions: October 25 pregame injury refresh: confirmed inactives excluded; Mayfield and Huntley confirmed starters; Mason and Coleman restored using recorded 2026 roles. Jacobs full-workload and Barkley conditional healthy-role assumptions retained. Puka remains conditional. Kirk, Dell and Sampson are activated but have no usable 2026 offensive sample, so no numeric forecast is invented. Thursday and Paris-game forecasts preserved for audit.