Darren Waller Fantasy Outlook, Projections & Trade Value
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All player profiles / Darren Waller
CAR · TE · 2026 redraft outlook
- Half-PPR rank
- TE27 · #142
- Half-PPR trade value
- 52.5
- PPR trade value
- 52.4
- Standard trade value
- 53.1
Week 7 stat projections
Opponent: TB · Preliminary · Updated Oct 25, 2026, 9:54 AM PT
- Carries
- 0.0
- Rushing yards
- 0.0
- Rushing TDs
- 0.0
- Targets
- 3.8
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Receiving yards
- 20.8
- Receiving TDs
- 0.1
- Standard points
- 2.9
- Half-PPR points
- 3.8
- PPR points
- 4.7
Did Not Participate In Practice; Not injury related - resting player
Week 7 matchup analysis
TB allows 15.7 PPR points per game to opposing tight ends: No. 10 of 32 for most points allowed through Week 6 (6 games). Opposing tight ends average 8.5 targets, 6.0 receptions, 56.2 receiving yards and 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game as a group. The defense sits in the middle half of the ranked defenses by positional fantasy points allowed. The published forecast is 4.7 PPR points.
Matchup sources and sample limits
Position results are totals for all opposing players at that position, divided by defensive games, not an individual player forecast. Rank 1 allows the most PPR points; ties share rank. At least three games are required. Raw results are not adjusted for opponent strength, game script or injuries and do not establish individual cornerback coverage. QB PPR totals follow the source’s default 4-point passing-TD scoring.
WR with the highest targets per recorded player-stat appearance for that team entering the game. Prior weeks only; tied leaders, Week 1 and games without a recorded appearance by the leader are excluded. This is not cornerback coverage data.
nflverse weekly player statistics · through Week 6 · captured Oct 24, 2026, 6:53 PM PT · SHA-256 eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6
Fantasy verdict
Darren Waller is a tight-end depth asset for rest-of-season trades. He is No. 142 overall in Half PPR. In 5 recorded games through Week 6, he has turned 21 targets into 13 catches, 148 yards and 2 touchdowns. That is 8.0 PPR points per game.
Role and efficiency
His latest 2 appearances produced 4.0 targets per game, versus 5.5 in the preceding 2. Opportunity is contracting; lower the volume expectation. His targets equal 10.4% of team pass attempts in those games. Across 3 recent snap records, he averaged 50.0% of offensive snaps. Touchdowns supplied 30.2% of his PPR points; yardage and catches carry most of his production. His 7.0 yards per target rank 16 of 29 qualifying TEs in our pool (three games and 20 targets). Volume remains the stronger distinction than efficiency.
Weekly lineup call
Week 7: Keep him on the bench in standard one-TE leagues. His 4.7-point PPR forecast ranks TE32 in this run, built on 3.8 targets, 1.8 catches and 20.8 receiving yards. The matchup is against TB. This forecast is 3.2 points below his observed PPR average. Run availability: Did Not Participate In Practice; Not injury related - resting player.
Trade stance
Half-PPR trade value: 52.5. Same-position model prices: AJ Barner (TE26, value 52.7) and Jake Ferguson (TE25, value 54.0). Price him as a secondary asset in rest-of-season deals; do not upgrade his trade tier on a single weekly forecast. PPR value is 52.4; Standard is 53.1. His overall rank held at 142.
Compare Darren Waller in the Trade Analyzer →
TE rankings · TE projections · Model methodology
Sources and calculation notes
Automatically generated by The Roster Report from source-linked statistics and published calculations. Fantasy tiers use a 12-team, one-QB baseline; lineup calls use the player’s rank within the published PPR forecast. Trade stances are editorial interpretations of model tiers, not market-price claims. Efficiency comparisons require three recorded games and at least 50 pass attempts for QBs, 30 carries for RBs, or 20 targets for WRs/TEs within the analyzer’s player pool. These editorial rules do not change model scores or rankings. No manual player writeups. Model neutral defaults are excluded from observed-stat claims. Recorded games can include injury-shortened appearances. Recent comparisons use appearances, not missed-game zeros.
- nflverse player_stats.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
eee4191d540b95ebbc40748dc4e42fef25b69b4f8c0f47f8c4eaf4b6fa040ac6 - nflverse snaps.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5065e069449ec1330f05469c0a18d01a2a32e633ee0b7a0a15939d87071619fb - nflverse roster.parquet · snapshot SHA-256
5995112b9b4706b923a480eabc941b40a4efbc76f6cfc164d883f137f997542c
Default-league values include the analyzer’s existing availability and RB adjustments. Custom scoring, Superflex and package premiums are evaluated inside the analyzer. No market discount or buy/sell recommendation is inferred without supporting market data.
Projection run assumptions: October 25 pregame injury refresh: confirmed inactives excluded; Mayfield and Huntley confirmed starters; Mason and Coleman restored using recorded 2026 roles. Jacobs full-workload and Barkley conditional healthy-role assumptions retained. Puka remains conditional. Kirk, Dell and Sampson are activated but have no usable 2026 offensive sample, so no numeric forecast is invented. Thursday and Paris-game forecasts preserved for audit.